What are the biggest factors that will determine who wins the series? Let’s dive deep into what’s to come.
Utah Jazz guard Donovan Mitchell shoots against Dallas Mavericks center Dwight Powell during the first quarter of an NBA basketball game in Dallas, Sunday, March 27, 2022. For months now, a Utah Jazz matchup against the Dallas Mavericks in Round 1 looked like the most likely possibility. It took the whole season to confirm that the Jazz would be headed to Dallas in mid-April, but odds won out this time.
On the other hand, in their four matchups this season, the Jazz have outscored the Mavs without Doncic on the floor. That’s only by a measly 2.8 points per 100 possessions, and they’ll need to find consistency in regularly beating those lineups, rather than just holding steady, if they want to have comfortable wins in the series.
The strategy is clear: push the defender over the screen to force Doncic into the paint, but prevent him from getting all the way to the basket — and prevent the lob, too. Luckily, Rudy Gobert is employed by the Jazz. He’ll be sitting in the paint, and is probably the most effective human alive at preventing full-blown layups and lobs at the same time.
In the regular season, the Mavs played 1,485 possessions without a traditional center — and outscored teams by 8.8 points per 100 possessions while doing it, per Cleaning The Glass. The most frequently used lineups put Dorian Finney-Smith and Maxi Kleber as the four and five men in the lineup, both who are capable of eating up a lot of space with their length while knocking down big threes on the other end.
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