There are two big favorites on Thanksgiving Day, and one puzzling underdog. Here are our picks.
The Detroit Lions have been an underdog in 11 of their last 15 Thanksgiving games and have covered in only three of those contests, including last year’s 16-14 loss to the Chicago Bears as 2.5-point underdogs.Neil’s Pick: Buffalo Bills -9½
I’m not going to overthink this one. The Bills are producing 7.6 more points per game than expected based on the down, distance and field position of each play both for and against them, per data from TruMedia. Only the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs have been better this season. The Lions, meanwhile, are generating 6.2 fewer points per game than expected; only the Pittsburgh Steelers and Houston Texans have been worse this season.
Neither of these offenses are particularly efficient. Dallas is averaging 2.1 points per drive this season and the Giants are slightly below average, scoring just under two points per drive . The Cowboys are very good defensively while New York is average .Add in short rest for both teams and I believe this will be a low-scoring game, perhaps even dipping into the low 30s.
Cornerback Adoree’ Jackson , right tackle Tyre Phillips , center Jon Feliciano , wide receiver Wan’Dale Robinson and cornerback Fabian Moreau all departed during the Lions loss, and the short week gives them a condensed recovery time. . Keeping within range of a Cowboys’ offense that is starting to hum might be a lot to ask.Neil’s Pick: New England Patriots +2½
Let’s look at some stats for these teams without identifying them and then decide which should be favored. Team A is ranked ninth in net yards per play, 12th in net success rate and seventh in expected points added per game. Team B is ranked 28th, 24th and 21st in those categories, respectively. If you adjust the offensive numbers by eliminating turnovers, Team A is scoring 2.
Ireland Latest News, Ireland Headlines
Similar News:You can also read news stories similar to this one that we have collected from other news sources.
Analysis | NFL best bets for Week 12: Keep riding this Commanders waveLeft hand up, then click on the Commanders (to shut down Atlanta's erratic offense).
Read more »
NFL on Thanksgiving: FrontPageBets takes a look at top bets for each of Thursday's three gamesIt's a Turkey Day trifecta: Bills vs. Lions, Giants vs. Cowboys and Patriots vs. Vikings.
Read more »
San Francisco 49ers dish up wins. Rams, Cardinals get relegated to the kid's table - USA TODAY Sports+The San Francisco 49ers dish up wins, while the Los Angeles Rams and Arizona Cardinals get relegated to the kid's table. In a special Thanksgiving episode of It's a Football Podcast! Safid_Deen + TheTylerDragon break down the state of the NFL:
Read more »
NFL Thanksgiving Schedule: How to Watch Holiday Football Games Online Without CableThe NFL’s Thanksgiving lineup will include the Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants (plus Jonas Brothers halftime) and the Buffalo Bills vs. Detroit Lions (with Bebe Rexha & David Guetta).
Read more »
Here's Who is Playing in this Year's NFL Thanksgiving GamesWhile turkey dinners are generally the star of the show on Thanksgiving, the action on the NFL gridiron is also a key to the festivities, with three games on the docket.
Read more »
Every NFL Team's Record in Thanksgiving GamesThis tweet serves two purposes: 1. To see how well (or badly) your team has performed through the years on Thanksgiving 2. To serve as a reminder that the infamous 'Butt Fumble' game took place 10 years ago tonight
Read more »