Analysis: The history of primary meddling — and how risky Dems’ attempts in 2022 are
Another example others often invoke is another GOP icon whose name you might have heard: Trump. But again, that “meddling” wasn’t really like what we’ve been talking about in 2022. It’s true that Hillary Clinton’s campaign in 2016 viewed Trump and other more extreme GOP hopefuls aswhom they wanted to elevate. But that posture wasn’t nearly as overt, and was viewed more as a ploy to draw the other candidates to the right.
All of which brings us to the “but.” Yes, we’ve yet to see such meddling result in Govs. Mastriano or Lake. When the strategy was most dicey — in Missouri, Indiana and Nevada a decade ago — it panned out quite nicely for Democrats. But the sample size is small because the extreme candidates often don’t make it past the primary.
We also live in an age in which voters are more polarized. It seems pretty unlikely that a Todd Akin would be stuck at 39 percent of the vote in Missouri in 2022, even after “legitimate rape.” Arizona and Pennsylvania today aren’t red like Missouri and Indiana were back then, but they are highly competitive. The most recent polling
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