Analysis: The strain of a seasonal flu pandemic — but every month
flu data. In other words, we’re comparing the total number of flu cases and hospitalizations the CDC thinks probably occurred with the covid-19 hospitalizations that were confirmed with lab tests. The CDConly about 30,000 confirmed flu hospitalizations during the 2017-2018 season — or fewer than the number of confirmed covid-19 hospitalizations the country saw in the past week.
We can compare the two measures directly. You can see the seasonal spikes in flu hospitalizations below — and how the 2017-2018 season stands out. Here are those same numbers, with the number of covid-19 hospitalizations added. Those little orange blips at the bottom of the graph are the same flu spikes seen above.
What’s critically important to recognize here is that while the coronavirus cases have risen and fallen in waves, the baseline below which the number hasn’t fallen since these data were first collected is well above the spikes seen in past flu seasons. Another measure of the toll of flu seasons is in deaths. Each year, there’s a certain level of death expected from influenza and pneumonia that rises and falls with the seasons. In bad flu seasons, like the 2017-2018 one, the level of deaths from flu and pneumonia surges well above that expectation.Again, the toll is not just well above the expected level, but it has been above that level consistently for two years.
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