'It's very f---ing [expensive]...you have to be the third or fourth highest-grossing film in history. That’s your threshold. That’s your break even.”
Cameron apparently told Disney and 20th Century Studios executives that his sequel budget was so high in represented “the worst business case in movie history.” According to the director’s estimates, “you have to be the third or fourth highest-grossing film in history. That’s your threshold. That’s your break even.”
On the current chart of highest-grossing movies worldwide , Cameron’s original 2009 “Avatar” ranks at the top with $2.9 billion. Disney’s “Avengers: Endgame” is in second position with $2.7 million, while Cameron’s “Titanic” remains in the third slot with $2.1 billion. If “” wants to break even, it’ll need to overtake either “Star Wars: The Force Awakens” or “Avengers: Infinity War” in the fourth or fifth slots, respectively.
Regardless of what spot it claims, “Avatar: The Way of Water” will need to earn at least $2 billion to be profitable, according to Cameron. Only five movies have ever crossed the $2 billion mark, unadjusted for inflation. While the pandemic has affected moviegoing, films like “Spider-Man: No Way Home” and “Top Gun: Maverick” have managed to turn huge profits, so there’s hope for “The Way of Water.
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