The United States Department of Agriculture announced a sudden halt to the importation of avocados from Mexico
on poverty alleviation strategies in regions with significant cartel activity, not dismantling the cartels.
In the United States, consumers can expect avocado prices to skyrocket. According to Guan, the monthly average price of an avocado has risen about 40 percent since January 2021. In January 2021, an avocado cost about $1.05. Now, consumers can expect to pay about $1.36 per avocado, a price that will only rise if the stoppage of Mexican imports continues. “The USDA’s decision will have a huge impact on the market supply of avocados, and the price is expected to further spike,” Guan says.
Farmers in Florida and the Dominican Republic also grow avocados, but they’re a different variety from the Hass avocado. The tropical avocado is larger and boasts a different flavor than the Hass, and is viewed as less desirable for American consumers. And getting them to, say, Chicago from the Dominican Republic poses serious logistical challenges. “Mexico’s proximity to the West and Midwest makes it a cost-effective source for avocados in these regions,” Blare says.
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