By 2030 half of all adults worldwide will drink alcohol, and almost a quarter will binge drink at least once a month, according to projections covering 189 countries.
On current trends, global consumption per capita will rise another 17% over the next decade, they reported in The Lancet.
"Before 1990, most alcohol was consumed in high-income countries, with the highest use levels recorded in Europe," said lead author Jakob Manthey, a researcher at the Institute of Clinical Psychology and Psychotherapy in Dresden, Germany. In China, men drank more than 11 litres of alcohol, mostly in the form of spirits and beer, while women imbibed three, for an average of just over seven litres.By 2030, the two countries will have traded places: Chinese adults are projected to drink more than ten litres on average, while American consumption of alcohol will drop slightly to 9.5 litres.
But that was double the figure for 1990, and the researchers foresee an additional 50% increase by 2030.
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