The Biden administration’s unprecedented strategy of actively declassifying intelligence gathered about Russia’s intentions to invade Ukraine was guided, in part, from the mistakes made in the U.S. invasion of Iraq.
characterization that the evidence showing Iraq possessed weapons of mass destruction was a “slam dunk” is now immortalized in American politics as a kind of shorthand for hubris and the capacity for official deception.
Indeed, unlike with weapons of mass destruction in Iraq, the agency’s and the wider intelligence community’s analysis about Russia’s intentions to attack Ukraine have been widely borne out. And its warnings about Russian “false flag” operations being used as a pretext for war look prescient, as Russia continues to float baseless theories about a potential Ukrainian chemical weapons attack.
But the Obama administration, potentially worried about domestic political fallout and the sensitivity of the sourcing, failed to fully exploit this now public information surrounding Russia’s interference campaign — a lesson the Biden administration seems to have learned with its novel declassification strategy regarding Ukraine, according to Asher.
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