The Tories are set for electoral wipeout across Shropshire, according to a new poll.
Left; Following the last generalelection the Conservativeswere left with an 80-seat majority, having taken seats offLabour in the West Midlands. Right; The electoral map in 2024 could be very different, according to Savanta’s latest MRP poll. Graphics: Savanta.
According to the model, Labour would take 23 seats from the Conservatives and an additional one from the Lib Dems. Mr Sunak’s party would be left with just Lichfield, currently held by Michael Fabricant, and Sir Gavin Williamson’s South Staffordshire seat. Among the MPs who would lose their seats would be Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, whose Richmond seat in Yorkshire would go to Labour for the first time in history.
The result would see Labour end up on 482 seats to the Conservatives’ 69, marking a monumental turnaround from the 2019 general election, which saw most of our region turn blue as Boris Johnson stormed to victory with an 80-seat majority. “This latest MRP model reflects the position now, of two parties experiencing widely differing electoral fortunes,” he said.
They believe the region is ripe for the picking, with a number of seats that turned Conservative for the first time in 2019 pencilled in as ‘must wins’. Labour’s electoral team is also confident of regaining both West Bromwich seats, which had been strongholds for the party prior to the last national poll.
The result showed that majorities of 20,000 plus were not safe, and was followed up by further by-election defeats for the Conservatives in 2022.
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