It’s shaping up to be a good year for the GOP nationally. But in New York, Republican gubernatorial candidate Lee Zeldin faces long odds in a state with a history of rejecting those who have aligned themselves with the right-wing national party
Photo-Illustration: Intelligencer; Photos: Getty Images After being counted out last year, Republicans flipped the governor’s mansion in Virginia and came extremely close in New Jersey, where Democrat Phil Murphy barely won a second term. This fall, the political environment is expected to be dismal for Democrats of all ideological stripes, even with the repeal of Roe v. Wade potentially firing up the Democratic base.
Zeldin’s close alliance with Donald Trump — he voted against certifying the results of the 2020 election and defended the Capitol insurrection — is almost certainly going to cost him with Democrats and independents. Like other Republicans, Zeldin has already celebrated the overturning of Roe.
One successful Republican wedge issue Zeldin will lack against Hochul is education. Both Glenn Youngkin, the Republican who defeated Terry McAuliffe in Virginia, and Jack Ciattarelli, the Republican who nearly upset Murphy in New Jersey, benefited from a popular backlash against school closures during the pandemic. New York, generally, didn’t have such prolonged closures, and Hochul hasn’t been governor long enough to be blamed for them.
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