These events can cause devastating landslides and flash floods
At 3:30 A.M. on January 9, 2018, half an inch of rain poured down on the charred slopes of the Santa Ynez Mountains in coastal southern California. The flames of the Thomas Fire—at the time the largest wildfire in state history—had swept through the previous month, leaving the soil and vegetation scorched and unable to soak up the onslaught of water. The destabilized ground gave way in a devastating landslide. Boulders crashed into houses in the town of Montecito, Calif.
And these risks are not confined to decades in the future: the study showed the odds of this type of compound event occurring have already risen across the West. “We’re starting to see these types of things happen with our own eyes,” Stevenson says. By their nature, though, such extreme combined events have been relatively rare. This means there is often not enough historical data to see any trends in how these events are changing as global temperatures rise. “As climate scientists, many people in the community would ask us, ‘Are these going to get worse?’” Touma says. Before her and Stevenson’s new study, “we couldn’t really give them a complete answer in terms of these compound events.
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