Elon Musk predicts AI will overtake human intelligence next year

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Elon Musk predicts AI will overtake human intelligence next year
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Tesla chief says infrastructure will need to keep up with technology’s demands as he seeks investment for own start-up

Elon Musk has predicted that the capability of new AI models will surpass human intelligence by the end of next year. Photograph: Amir Hamja/The New York TimesThe capability of new artificial intelligence models will surpass human intelligence by the end of next year, so long as the supply of electricity and hardware can satisfy the demands of the increasingly powerful technology, according to Elon Musk.

A number of AI breakthroughs over the past 18 months, including the launch of video generation tools and more capable chatbots, have pushed the frontier of AI forward faster than expected. Demis Hassabis, the co-founder of Google’s DeepMind, predicted earlier this year that AGI could be achieved by 2030.

Mr Musk’s eagerness to join the AI race runs counter to the high-profile stance he took last year calling for a pause in advanced AI development. He warned of the “profound risks to society and humanity” posed by super-powerful AI tools and called for an immediate pause on training any system more powerful than OpenAI’s GPT-4, the market leading model.

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