Manchester United should find themselves in a high-scoring match, making the over on their goal total one of the two best Premier League bets of the weekend.
Plus, Leeds could be in for some positive offensive regression soon. This season, it has scored 34 goals on 39.5 expected and a good chunk of that discrepancy has come at home. At Elland Road, Leeds has scored 17 times on 22 expected goals, perAll that said, this Southampton attack has played quite well of late and should contribute to the total Saturday. It has created at least one expected goal in four of its last five overall and four of five away from home. Given it notched 2.
History backs that statement up too as three straight meetings between these sides have featured at least three goals, including a 4-2 Leicester City victory at the King Power Stadium that saw the sides combine for 4.5 expected goals. The duality with this play exciting me is that United’s attack has played very well at home while Leicester has struggled to defend on the road. The Red Devils have notched at least one expected goal in five straight at Old Trafford and at least two expected goals in three of the last four, perOn the flip-side, Leicester has conceded the seventh-most road expected goals this season and has allowed at least two xG in three straight road fixtures against Big Six opposition.
That said, United’s defense has given opportunities to top-half EPL attacks lately. In its last four fixtures against such sides, it has conceded at least one expected goal in all four. As a result, expect participation from both sides in what I think proves another high-scoring affair.
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