Unlike in 2016, this time the former president has a coherent plan for governing
It is unclear what Europe can do to hedge against Trump 2.0. A minority of European leaders, notably Hungary’s Viktor Orban, would welcome his return. So would Russia’s Vladimir Putin. Photograph: Charly TriballeauNo one can say that Donald Trump did not warn them. In an unusually detailed interview with Time magazine last week, the Republican nominee sent fresh chills down liberal spines by laying out what he would do if he recaptured the presidency.
One European response is to hope that Trump will lose in November. That would be a rash wager. In 2020, Biden beat him by more than 4 percentage points in the popular vote. Average polls in the last three months show Trump with a 1.5 percentage point lead. More ominously, he leads, albeit marginally, in each of the seven swing states.
In his first term, he appointed establishment figures, such as Rex Tillerson as secretary of state and Jim Mattis as defence secretary. This time he would pick proven Eurosceptics, such as Elbridge Colby, who runs the Marathon Initiative think tank, and overt Europhobes, such as Richard Grenell, Trump’s former ambassador to Germany.
He might also be able to count on the support of Giorgia Meloni, Italy’s hard-right prime minister, who, to the surprise of some, has co-operated with Joe Biden over Ukraine.The UK’s Labour Party, which will almost certainly win Britain’s next general election, has been putting out feelers to key figures in the Trump world. Britain’s shadow foreign secretary, David Lammy, will visit Washington next week for the sixth time since taking his role.
North-Atlantic-Treaty-Organisation-Nato Jamie-Dimon
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