The elimination of the minnows will clarify the picture in Ireland South and Midlands-North-West
European election counts: How to watch the counting and vote transfers for two remaining constituenciesFianna Fáil emerges as largest party of local government as European election sees high-profile exitsSo ten counts done in Ireland South; it could take another ten. It’ll be some time before we reach the business end of things here, as there are still a lot of minnows to be eliminated. Nine of the remaining 15 candidates who are contending for seats won less than 5 per cent of the vote.
Fianna Fáil’s Cynthia Ní Mhurchú has outstripped expectations but will need to pull in transfers from everywhere – not impossible for a “celebrity” candidate, but unpredictable at best – before Fine Gael’s John Mullins goes out. The danger for her is that her running mate, Billy Kelleher, sucks up too much of the Fine Gael-Fianna Fáil transfer to help her sufficiently.
If anything, it’s even tighter than South here. Just 22,000 votes separate the top five, led by Luke Ming Flanagan, who is still more than 30,000 votes shy of a quota. Nobody is getting elected here for quite a while yet.
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