Candidates face a battle where party running mates could be their most dangerous rivals transfers will in many cases be decisive
constituencies, many of whom are, today’s poll suggests, within a few points of each other, the campaigns currently unfolding across the country will matter more than ever. With literally dozens of candidates vying to nudge ahead of each other, relatively small movements in support could have an outsized impact. Transfers will be, in many cases, decisive. It’s not just game on. It’s more, let the mad scramble commence, and devil take the hindmost. are both in a strong position to take seats.
There are three candidates on 4 per cent – Niall Blaney of Fianna Fáil, Independent Peter Casey and Peadar Tóibín, the Aontú leader. After that, there are 16 candidates on 3 per cent or less. Several registered support of less than 1 per cent; eight were on 1 per cent. It’s going to be a crowded and probably noisy campaign.
In Ireland South, the picture is very different. There are two standout leaders, both sitting MEPs – Seán Kelly of Fine Gael on 23 per cent, and Billy Kelleher of Fianna Fáil on 18 per cent. Both seem sure of re-election on today’s figures. Kathleen Funchion of Sinn Féin should also take a seat, though she will need the transfers of party colleague Paul Gavan, who is on 6 per cent.
Fianna-Fail Sinn-Fein Green-Party Fine-Gael Labour-Party Social-Democrats People-Before-Profit-Alliance Aontu Lynn-Boylan Mick-Wallace Clare-Daly Aodhan-O-Riordain Ciaran-Cuffe Luke-Ming-Flanagan Peadar-Toibin Billy-Kelleher Grace-O-Sullivan Michael-Mcnamara
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