The shape of the next government is unclear following Election 2020 exit poll writes MichealLehane
The figures are broadly consistent with the opinion polls that have punctuated the election campaign.One is the suggested strength of the Sinn Féin vote that this survey points to. The traditional pattern of Sinn Féin's first preference vote dropping on eve of an election does not seem to have happened this time.
Fianna Fáil will I suspect look at this poll tonight and still believe that it will emerge over the next two days as the biggest party. There is a very interesting historical precedent here. In 1992 the Labour Party found that it had run too few candidates when the "Spring Tide" came in. Is it politically sustainable for those parties to exclude Sinn Féin from government formation talks based on these project figures?
But that’s only feasible if Fianna Fáil finishes with more seats than Fine Gael and Leo Varadkar as he has indicated offers a reverse confidence and supply arrangement in the national interest.
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