The month started off mild but has taken a turn towards the cold. To add insult to injury we have our first real snow of the season coming Monday night into Tuesday.
A woman poses in front of the lion at the Art Institute of Chicago in downtown Chicago, the United States, on Jan. 1, 2022.The first 11 days of November were well above average, even as much as over 24 degrees above average. The streak of consecutive above average days that started in late October stretched to 15 days before ending on Saturday. Monday will be our third straight day below average.
First snows of the season are notoriously difficult to predict when it comes to amounts. The ground temperature along with the possibility of some snow mixing with or changing to rain are just a few challenges forecasters face. A wind off a relatively warm Lake Michigan can also eat into the snowfall totals.
Our proprietary Fox Model is laying down about one to three inches of snow by Tuesday evening. It hints at higher amounts along and south of I-80 where more than three inches could fall in spots.Our Baron model is showing similar snowfall amounts. One to three inches is the most likely range of snowfall but a few spots south of the city could see nearly four inches in total.Our colder pattern could continue through at least Thanksgiving weekend.
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