Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil will lose council seats but this has been a remarkable day in Irish politics
Five things revealed by the election results, including the astonishing cratering of Sinn Féin supportuntil late on Sunday. However, we have sufficient information from both counts and tallies to say that this has been a remarkable day inwill lose council seats, it’s true. Both parties accept that. But they are losing from a relatively high base, having performed strongly in the 2019 election. Fine Gael looks to be having a very good day in Dublin, especially in the middle-class heartlands.
It is not clear who will be the largest party, either in terms of share of the vote or in council seats. Fine Gael reckons it has the edge. Either way, there won’t be much in it. Whatever happens, it won’t be Sinn Féin. If you had said that six months ago – even three months ago – nobody would have believed you.Like Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil, the Greens will lose seats. But not all of them.
Estimates of the party’s share of the national vote are knocking around the mid-teens, while a tally of the four Dublin local electoral areas had the party as low as 11 per cent. If that is borne out on Sunday, it suggests that the widely assumedcould endanger the party’s seat there too. These outcomes remain possibilities rather than probabilities. But they show that things could get worse for Sinn Féin.Where Sinn Féin has faltered, Independents have prospered.
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