An additional 300 beds a year are needed to meet demographic pressures, according to report
The report highlights the demographic pressures on the system, with the population projected to rise by 1 per cent a year to 2035, and the population of over-65s rising by 3.5 per cent a year.
The report estimates over 900 extra beds are needed but says that in one scenario a further 330 would be required. Existing Government plans may underestimate the additional capacity needed, the authors say. While Covid-19 provided a “profound stress test” for the health service, with time “decision-making became much more agile and evidence-informed, with a reasonably fast response to the pandemic, appropriate stringency and general compliance with public health advice”.
“A key question,” the report states, “is to what extent mistakes are inevitable or even acceptable”. It quotes one unnamed “commentator” saying “once the emergency is over, the people who made an awful lot of right decisions will end up getting kicked up and down the street for the few they got wrong”.
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