If Biden Retires in 2024, Kamala Harris Will Be the Democratic Nominee

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If Biden Retires in 2024, Kamala Harris Will Be the Democratic Nominee
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The idea that Harris will be denied the Democratic presidential nomination if Biden doesn’t run and she does is questionable in the extreme

Photo: Getty Images I really don’t know where the drumbeat of hostile coverage of Vice-President Kamala Harris is coming from. It could be from the same Republicans who didn’t mind Donald Trump calling her a “communist” and a “monster” in 2020. It could be from the camps of past or future rivals for Democratic leadership. And it could be from the unnamed White House sources said to hold the veep and/or her staff in low regard.

Sitting vice-presidents in the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries did not often pursue the big job, though when they did they typically won. In the early 20th century, Teddy Roosevelt’s veep Charles Fairbanks and Woodrow Wilson’s veep Thomas Marshall ran for president without their predecessors’ blessings and went nowhere. Worse yet, in 1940, John Nance Garner ran against his president, FDR, and was trounced at the Democratic convention.

The record indicates that barring some scandal or unforeseeable development Harris is likely to be the prohibitive favorite for the 2024 nomination, particularly if you consider the inhibitions facing any Democratic challenger to the first woman and the first Black person to serve as vice-president.

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