We won’t know the full political impact of the economic hardships, natural disasters and lifestyle aggravations until November, George Skelton writes.
The governor’s proposal spans both long-term investments and immediate cash rebates, largely made possible by a towering $97.5-billion tax surplus through next summer.“High inflation always has an impact on elections,” says Democratic strategist Garry South. “But it’s not something politicians can do much about.”
He adds that “sending out billions of dollars to help motorists pay for gasoline might even raise gas prices…. But David Townsend, a strategist for moderate Democrats, says that inflation “transcends everything. Roe vs. Wade, Ukraine, Trump craziness — all that takes a back seat when people are worried about money and the cost of things.”“It’s bad news for the Democrats,” says PPIC president and pollster Mark Baldassare. “Financial worry is a factor that leads people to want change.”
Republicans were more concerned about inflation than Democrats. But it was an even bigger worry among independents — 32% called it the state’s most important problem.If so, that could shift election dynamics in California. But a plurality of independents said they intend to vote for a Democratic congressional candidate. Overall, 55% of likely voters said they’ll support a Democrat in House races; only 35% plan to back a Republican.
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