The 2-year and 10-year Treasury yield curve has become a focal point for investors, but this isn’t the right indicator to watch.
There's another interest rate issue that's been on my mind for some time.
Back then, and until relatively recently, the Fed only acknowledged changes in policy after the fact, or with a simple press release with few details. Each day, around 11:30 a.m. ET, the Fed would add or drain liquidity from the banking system. Sometimes the additions or subtractions were temporary to address cash imbalances in the banking system.
Fed watchers also tracked increases or decreases in the size of the money supply when those figures were released every Thursday afternoon.
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