The leaders of the SDLP and Alliance are considering standing in the May election
Mr Allister won 75,806, and the former Alliance South Belfast MLA Anna Lo won 44,432 votes.Mr Attwood only lost out on the eighth and final count in 2014, when Mr Allister’s transfers got Mr Nicholson over the line.
This would indicate that were Mr Eastwood to run he would have a reasonable chance of taking the third seat from the UUP, particularly should the Remain vote rally to his cause. Based on the figures he would appear to have the advantage over whoever Alliance chooses as its candidate as the SDLP was more than 37,000 votes ahead of Alliance in 2014., with one senior source suggesting its leader is likely to be the runner.
There would be a risk for Mr Eastwood should Mr Long be selected as based on her centre-ground popularity she is likely to have a good chance of garnering a significant portion of cross-community votes, notwithstanding that the SDLP was so far ahead of Alliance five years ago. Mr Kennedy is viewed as a moderate and popular unionist and would be in a good position to hold on to Mr Nicholson’s vote.It all adds up to an intriguing and uncertain battle for the final seat to an election which, after all the votes are counted, might become meaningless.
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