A Trump victory in the US presidential election would constitute a seismic shift in our overall international strategy
'It is clear that Trump wants to take us into a world of trade wars, tariffs and recrimination against US companies that deploy investment abroad.' Photograph: Jim Watson/AFP via Getty Images
It a balancing act that calls for many friends, almost patrons, internationally. We understand that we are rule-takers not rule-makers, and through a combination of charm and cunning we try to get bigger players to see our point of view, bend the rules a bit for us and not look too closely at possible anomalies. Such an approach in economics, diplomacy and commerce has served us well, allowing us at times to be treated as a bit of an exception..
The implication for us is stark: a large part of the Maga policy will be bringing American commerce home. The fact that Lutnick name-checked Ireland and tied our trade surplus, and by extension our budget surplus, explicitly to purloined American money shows his line of thinking. If Trump wins, we might find that being great craic and easy to like doesn’t cut muster. With fewer friends in Brussels, where does Ireland turn?
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