The Irish election results have seen the incumbent parties, Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael, retain their power despite a shrinking share of the national vote. This outcome is notable in the context of global democratic trends where incumbents have faced significant defeats. Low voter turnout at approximately 56% further highlights concerns about civic engagement.
The State is entering a holding pattern, circling a future somewhere between high anxiety and extraordinary opportunitya non-event. But in this case the overstatement would be slight. The things that did not happen seem a lot more significant than those that did. The outcome is negatively charged in five different ways.
The fourth dog that didn’t bark was immigration. It is very strongly present as background radiation: 41 per cent of those surveyed for theregard it as a negative for Ireland. But it remains difficult for hard-right or far-right candidates to channel that sentiment into votes. A staggering 50 per cent of Fine Gael voters are anti-immigration, but they nonetheless voted for the status quo.— did well.
And so, after what was universally agreed to be a strange election, we have a suitably strange outcome. It’s peculiar because, on the surface, there has never been a more upbeat campaign with everybody promising everything to everybody and an apparently infinite amount of money to pay for it. Yet this positivity is curiously absent, outweighed by the accumulation of non-occurrences.
Irish Election Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Voter Turnout Democracy Global Elections Anti-Incumbency Trend
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