Irish Times/Ipsos B&A poll: Findings will prompt renewed discussion about pre-Christmas election

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Irish Times/Ipsos B&A poll: Findings will prompt renewed discussion about pre-Christmas election
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If the Government sees out term of office it will be a remarkable act of political self-abnegation

The good news from the latest Irish Times/Ipsos poll for the Government – and for Fine Gael especially – comes in two guises: an improvement in its own numbers, along with a further decline for Sinn Féin. Illustration: Paul Scott

It is more likely that today’s findings will prompt renewed discussion about a pre-Christmas election, and significantly increased internal political pressure for that to happen. If Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil TDs were in favour of an early election before today – and very many of them were – they will be even more hot-to-trot after this.

But it is Harris’s personal rating that is most eye-catching. His satisfaction rating jumps by a whopping 17 points to 55 per cent; again you have to go back to 2021 for ratings at a comparable scale for the taoiseach. And it’s the older voters who are most enamoured of the TikTok Teesh. Almost seven out of 10 older voters and nearly three-quarter of farmers approve of how he is doing the job.

By contrast there is little for Sinn Féin to take solace from in today’s numbers. At 20 per cent the party shows a decline of three points since last May, following a five-point decline in that poll, and a six-point decline in the previous one. That’s a trend, that is. For the Government parties Sinn Féin’s woes will undoubtedly strengthen the case for a November election, to be called a few weeks after the budget. England’s difficulty is Ireland’s opportunity, and all that.

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