No side wants all-out war in the region, but escalation - whether intended or not - remains a real danger
Binyamin Netanyahu’s position on negotiations with Hamas appears to have been strengthened, at least in the short term, by the revelation of the deaths of six Israel i hostages whose bodies were recovered on Saturday.
Part of the reason for Hizbullah’s caution stems from a realisation that all-out war with Israel would come at great cost.has been dealing with a devastating economic crisis and political vacuum for years, and the militant organisation is under domestic pressure not to drag the country deeper into crisis.Foreign Affairs HQ in Dublin is daubed with Gaza protest graffiti
Nevertheless, just as Nasrallah appears to have backed Hizbullah away from broader confrontation with Israel, so the Iranian leadership remains wary of any response that might lead to regional conflict. The killing of Haniyeh in Tehran constitutes a clear provocation to the Iranian leadership. Pezeshkian, the surprise winner of presidential elections earlier this year, has vowed to work towards the removal of sanctions reimposed on Iran in 2018 when then US president Donald Trump withdrew from a 2015 deal on the country’s nuclear programme.
The current proposal refines an earlier plan proposed by US president Joe Biden in May, according to which there would first be a six-week ceasefire and a release of hostages in exchange for Palestinians detained by Israel. Palestinians displaced from northern Gaza would be able to return home, while Israeli forces would withdraw from populated areas of Gaza.
Gaza-Strip Israel-Hamas-Conflict Israel Iran Binyamin-Netanyahu Hizbullah Lebanon
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