Keir Starmer should not to take his 'soft' poll lead for granted, pollsters warn

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Keir Starmer should not to take his 'soft' poll lead for granted, pollsters warn
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“You’re in a situation where people at the moment are going to Labour by default, not because they love the Labour Party” Experts are warning the party is still at risk of falling short of a majority at the next election 🔎 Analysis eleanormia

will see their share slashed to just 129, according to baseline data collected by Focaldata for Best for Britain., which is considered more accurate than a general opinion poll as it uses a larger sample and takes local factors into account.

With this in mind, Best for Britain has set out a number of scenarios based on analysis of the polling ranging from a Labour landslide to a hung parliament.and co that the 470 seats he’s predicted to get in scenario one – arguably, the one he hopes for – is far from a foregone conclusion. Scenario four, a combination of two and three, is the most promising for the Tories. It would see Labour failing to reach the majority threshold of 325, winning 316 seats while the Tories would get 286 – in other words, a hung parliament.

“You’re in a situation where people at the moment are going to Labour by default, not because they love the Labour Party,” he said. Many believed this would not be the Conservative Party, Mr Tryl claimed, as they were seen as “to some degree the cause of that chaos”.

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