Ipsos B&A exit poll for The Irish Times, RTÉ, TG4 and Trinity College Dubin skewed against Fianna Fáil and favoured Sinn Féin
Ipsos B&A exit poll for The Irish Times, RTÉ, TG4 and Trinity College Dubin skewed against Fianna Fáil and favoured Sinn Féin
Ipsos B&A president Damian Loscher said there was “no simple answer” as to why this election’s exit poll was not “more predictive”.Eoghan O’Mara Walsh: Dublin Airport cap must be scrapped if tourism growth targets are to be achieved“How this change manifested itself across rural and urban stations will need to be examined for any potential impact on party share predictions,” he said.
“The collection of accurate age data for those who refuse to take part for use in data weighting is likely to be incorporated into future models, especially as anecdotally the levels of refusals in exit polls are on the increase.”“Time of day matters because the party preferences of late evening voters are very different from, say, midmorning voters. For a party like Sinn Féin, the evening vote, when more young people come out, is vital,” he said.
Dail-Eireann Fine-Gael Fianna-Fail Sinn-Fein Social-Democrats People-Before-Profit-Solidarity-Pbps Labour-Party Ipsos
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