AI weather forecasting will save lives in the years ahead, Luke O’Neill has predicted.
Improvements in the technology mean that GraphCast, a branch of AI, is now the most accurate global weather forecaster over a 10 day period.Advertisement“It’s based on huge amounts of data that goes in; I think 400,000 data points go into it and then it can predict the weather with great accuracy.Winter snow in Co Wicklow, 10-2-16. Image: Bernard Golden / Alamy
While that might be nice for people who like to plan outdoor activities days in advance, the technology will be revolutionary for parts of the world where extreme weather means the difference between life and death. “ was predicting severe weather events - like a hurricane landing in Nova Scotia nine days in advance,” Professor O’Neill said.
“The current software, it’s six days’ notice; so, it’s got much more accurate at predicting extreme weather.“You can then take measures to mitigate it and with climate change, there’ll be more and more extreme weather events.”Improvements in AI have accelerated hugely over the past 12 months and Professor O’Neill predicted the technology would soon have more ability than an expert educated to PhD level.
“ asks 400 multiple choice questions to an expert in a field and the expert answers the questions,” he said.“But the best AI could do was 30-40% - which isn’t bad.“That can only get higher and higher.”
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