While you might want to stay away from the total in the Duke vs. North Carolina game, there’s a strong bet on the total in the Kansas vs. Villanova matchup.
Plus, the one element I’m unsure of with this total is what you get from North Carolina. As mentioned in our sides preview, we know Duke can score against a poor North Carolina defense. It owns edges in both field-goal percentage at the rim and from beyond the arc. And, although it may be an oversimplification, North Carolina is 235th of 358 teams in points allowed/game.
If anything, I’d be looking at a Duke team total for this contest. But in terms of the full-game total, I lean to the over but it’s too high a number for me to back on a neutral court.Getty ImagesThe biggest element of this handicap for me is that Justin Moore, Villanova’s second-leading scorer, will be out of this game.
That said, Villanova’s defense has played incredibly well since the start of the Big East Tournament. It has kept its opponent under 65 points in eight straight games and has kept 11 of its last 16 opponents under 70 points.
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