This is the tier where we start to think of players as stars, but those who are here are “core” players and some aren't franchise-level yet.
Is there a ceiling on the impact a player can have who can’t function as a primary offensive hub? This is the relevant question regarding the ceiling ofIn the past, I’ve had Gobert a tier above this, but I am both reconsidering whether I overvalued his defense and think that neither Adebayo nor reigning DPOY Jackson is the level of “one-man top-10 defense” that Gobert was in his prime.
In terms of offense, Adebayo has pumped up his usage into the mid 20s. At least in the regular season. In the postseason, we’ve seen teams almost dare him to try to take over from a scoring standpoint, and while he still has managed to maintain above average efficiency, he hasn’t been willing or able to take on the scoring volume that might be expected. Over the last three seasons, his usage is 24.7 percent across the combined regular seasons but only 21.
In contrast to Adebayo’s abilities as a playmaker, among the 68 players who appeared in at least 1,000 minutes with a usage rate of 24 percent or higher, nobody had a lower Assist/100 than Jackson’s 1.6. While he has had some seasons of solid efficiency, he hasn’t been able to translate that effectiveness to postseason play, even for a team that has been in desperate need of a second scoring option.
It is certainly possible that either player could ascend higher strictly on the basis of their defense, but the more likely path would be increased offensive impact.. He seemingly plateaued and perhaps even regressed across the past couple seasons, trending more toward the “big numbers/limited impact” group of players in Tier 4. But he turned in his best season by far in 2022-23.
Their physicality and elite, quick-burst athleticism mean they have the chance to overwhelm even a perfectly schemed defense. Both have limitations — Edwards’ inconsistency as a jump shooter and decision-maker and Brown’s shaky handle in traffic would have to be rectified for either to progress higher — but even with those foibles, they have still been highly effective.
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