Today brings the release of Non-farm Payrolls data for the month of March, carrying an expectation of +490k on the heels of last month’s +678k. Get your market update from JStanleyFX here:
In the aftermath of this morning’s report bond markets are showing a bit of distortion as the 2/10 Treasury curve has inverted. This is often approached as a sign of possible turbulence ahead, as the fact that investors are demanding a higher rate of return for shorter-term debt highlights a massive sense of distortion.
This is often attributed to the fact that investors’ pessimism drives them into what’s often considered to be safer but lower-yielding vehicles of Treasury securities. And since price and yield is inverse, with investors ducking for safe harbors at longer-terms could force yields on maturities that are further out to fall below those of shorter-dated securities.
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