Planting more trees could decrease deaths from higher summer temperatures in cities by a third, modeling study suggests

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Planting more trees could decrease deaths from higher summer temperatures in cities by a third, modeling study suggests
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Planting more trees could decrease deaths from higher summer temperatures in cities by a third, modeling study suggests thelancet TheLancet

Urban environments record higher temperatures than the surrounding countryside generally referred to as"urban heat islands." This temperature difference is caused by human modification of landscapes, such as removal of vegetation, the presence of asphalt and use of building materials that absorb and trap heat.

The population-weighted city average daily temperature difference between cities and countryside from June—August 2015 was 1.5 degrees warmer than the surrounding countryside, with the maximum temperature difference measured at 4.1 degrees hotter in Cluj-Napoca, Romania.

There was a large variability in temperature-related mortality rates between cities, from no premature deaths attributable to hotter urban temperatures in Goteborg, Sweden, to 32 premature deaths per 100,000 people in Cluj-Napoca, Romania. Overall, cities with highest temperature mortality rates were in Southern and Eastern Europe where the highest temperatures were reached, with these cities benefitting the most from an increase in tree coverage.

The authors acknowledge some limitations with this study. The study could not be conducted for a more recent year than 2015, due to unavailability of population data. In addition, a US dataset was used for building the cooling model in the study as opposed to a European dataset. Finally, this study focused on the health impacts of high temperatures but did not look at cold temperature.

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