So many midterm races are within the polls’ margins of error that it wouldn’t take much for the outcome to be good or bad “for either party,” New York Times analyst Nate Cohn said.
In one scenario, Republicans could secure a “clear” win, winning both houses of Congress despite several races being close, Cohn said.
In a third scenario, which Cohn calls the GOP “landslide” outcome, there would be a “red wave” victory for Republicans, who would win decisively in both the Senate and the House. This outcome is unlikely, as is the fourth scenario, which Cohn describes as a “Democratic surprise,” wherein the polls are similarly wrong and Democrats, not Republicans, retain control of both chambers.
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