THE SNP are set to win the majority of Scottish seats in the General Election on July 4, according to a huge new poll ...
are set to win the majority of Scottish seats in the General Election on July 4, according to a huge new poll.
The poll, conducted by We Think, asked 18,595 voters for their views and used a technique known as multi-level regression and post-stratification to model the outcome of the election in every constituency across Britain.leader Stephen Flynn is projected to lose his Aberdeen South seat to Labour – who in 2019 won just 8.4% of the vote in the constituency. The Tories were on 35.9% while Flynn won 44.7%.
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk, which is held by Tory minister John Lamont, is also predicted to be won by Labour – despite the party coming fourth with just 4.7% of the vote in 2019.West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine, where Labour also came fourth with just 4.6% of the vote in 2019, is also predicted to be won by Keir Starmer’s party.
It projected that 25% of people who voted Tory in 2019 will now back Reform UK, helping bring about an “historic low” for the Conservatives.We know there are thousands of National readers who want to debate, argue and go back and forth in the comments section of our stories. We’ve got the most informed readers in Scotland, asking each other the big questions about the future of our country.
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