Population mental health improves with increasing access to treatment: evidence from a dynamic modelling analysis - BMC Psychiatry

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Population mental health improves with increasing access to treatment: evidence from a dynamic modelling analysis - BMC Psychiatry
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An analysis presented in BMCPsychiatry suggests that an increase in the prevalence of mental disorders in Australia is attributable to increasing disorder incidence rather than declining treatment effectiveness.

. The posterior probability that the yearly increase in the per capita incidence of high to very high psychological distress exceeds 0 is very close to 1 , indicating that the individual-level risk of developing high to very high psychological distress increased over the period from 2008 to 2019.

show, respectively, the fit of the system dynamics model to the psychological distress data and the prevalence of high to very high psychological distress under a counterfactual scenario in which per capita incidence remains constant over time . The results in panel B indicate that the prevalence of high to very high psychological distress would have decreased by 0.

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