Here’s how you should bet the first quarter total during Super Bowl 2023.
That opens up a world of opportunities for savvy bettors ahead of Sunday’s game – including one clever way to bet on the exact score that isn’t offered by oddsmakers.21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Available in AZ, CO, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MD, MI, NJ, TN, VA, PA, OH, WV, WY only.21+. New customers only. Ohio. Terms and conditions apply. 21+ and present in OH. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER21+. New customers only. Ohio only. Terms and conditions apply. 21+ and present in OH.
That hasn’t been the case in recent years. Since 2010, the first quarter has seen double-digit points scored in eight of 13 years , which implies a fair price of -160 on the over. With five of the last seven title games producing a combined first-quarter score of 10 or higher, it’s easy to see the appeal in betting over 9.5 at roughly -130 odds.Icon Sportswire via Getty Images
Over that same 13-year period, betting under 10 would net a 5-2-6 record – good for a 71.4% hit rate with six pushes. That would extend to a ridiculous 14-3-6 record over the last 23 years and a 30-15-11 record across the 56-year history of the Super Bowl. Put another way: we’ve seen just three first quarters with a score over 10 in nearly a quarter-century.
Clearly, the key to maximizing the 1Q total is including 10 in the bet, which has been the exact combined score of the first quarter in nearly one-fifth of all Super Bowls. And while a push isn’t exactly an exciting way to resolve a bet, it’s a profitable one when the likelihood of a first quarter with more than 10 points is so low.As we mentioned above, 10 is a remarkably common score for the first quarter of the Super Bowl.
So how do you bet on it happening a fourth straight time? While most sportsbooks let you bet on the exact score for each team for the first quarter, they don’t let you bet on the exactIf you place separate bets on over 9.5 and under 10, each at -125 odds, you can essentially engineer a bet on a 1Q score of exactly 10 at 4/1 odds. That’s a pretty compelling price for a score that’s happened in three straight contests and 46.2% of all Super Bowls since 2010.
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