The goal, Musk said, is “a fundamental transformation for civilization as we know it” at what Musk guessed would be a very reasonable cost: under $20,000.
The timetable, like all Elon Musk timetables, is aggressive in the extreme. Tesla hopes to begin sales within three years and certainly before five years. That’s challenging considering the complexity of the task.He was not shy about predicting the consequences of fully-functional robotic workers and assistants, saying they would lead to a"future of abundance, a future where there is no poverty, a future where you can have whatever you want in terms of products and services.
Achieving that would bring about a fundamental transformation of civilization as we know it, Musk added. He’s not wrong: if Tesla or any other company can develop working, functional, effective robots that are widely available at a relatively low cost, it changes almost unimaginably huge parts of modern economies and societies. Warehouse workers, fast food workers, janitors, factory workers, construction workers, maids, landscaping workers, shipping and receiving personnel, and stocking clerks are just a few roles that could be taken by high-level humaniform robots.
But our ability — and Tesla’s ability — to actually deliver them any time soon is something that roboticists are skeptical about. MIT professor and director at the Computer Science & Artificial Intelligence Laboratory Diana Rus, for instance, recently told me that “the more you generalize, the less you optimize,” which is why so many robots that we have today do not take human shape.“There is a kind of a trade-off between how effective the robot is at doing a set of tasks and how many tasks the robot can do,” Rus said. “My idea was to create universal robot cells that could combine to form different types of machines .
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