South Africa’s 33% unemployment rate disproportionally affects the ANC’s black voter base
Supporters of the newly formed uMkhonto weSizwe political party outside the South Africa's constitutional court in Johannesburg following the ruling that declared former president and uMkhonto weSizwe leader Jacob Zuma ineligible as a candidate in the forthcoming South African general election.
It also coincided with a constitutional court ruling that Zuma, who left the ANC after falling out with its leadership, is ineligible to run for parliament due to a contempt of court conviction he received in 2021. In early 2024 voter surveys indicated support for the former liberation movement could even dip below 40 per cent, given the levels of unhappiness with the ANC’s performance in government over the past 15 years.
From early April, when the ANC started to roll out an election campaign across nine provinces, the party looked to be faring better with voters than earlier in the year, polls suggested. Were the ANC to poll at 40 per cent or below it would need to partner with at least one of the larger opposition parties to form a minority government, which could have major consequences for South Africa. The Economic Freedom Fighters and the MK party, two of the three largest, have radical populist agendas.
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