Éric Zemmour 'stokes nationalist angst, far and wide—a key attribute he shares with Trump.'
in the runoff of France’s two-round election next April. Until recently, conventional wisdom had pointed to a replay of the 2017 matchup between Macron andof the far-right anti-immigrant National Rally party, who has been trying to moderate her image. But by outflanking her on the radical right—and relentlessly insisting that “Marine can’t win”—Zemmour could lure a substantial number of Le Pen’s 2017 voters to his camp.
Zemmour would deny both accusations, of course, but his words speak for themselves. His pronouncements and writings paint a bleak picture of: threatened by hordes of Muslim immigrants he contends are bent on turning the country into an Islamic republic—a process he calls the “great replacement,” the supplanting of France’s white population and its Christian culture by what he characterizes, in effect, as Muslim invaders.
The most remarkable thing about the Zemmour phenomenon is that no one saw it coming. “It’s a spectacular rise,” sayshead of the IFOP polling institute. “In the history of the Fifth Republic, we have never seen someone who was not part of the political establishment gain this kind of momentum.” One explanation, says Dabi, is that Zemmour benefits from a leadership vacuum on the right.
Meanwhile, supporters of the right-center Republicans have still not recovered from the humiliating elimination of their champion,in the election five years ago. Divided by competing claimants, the Republicans will not settle on a candidate until their December 4 convention. The apparent front-runner, former labor ministerAs for the left, also divided by internecine squabbles, no candidate appears to have a realistic chance of reaching the runoff round.
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