The IEA published its report a month early so that it could be a “guidebook” for the UN’s climate conference
energy economy is emerging.” Thus declared Fatih Birol, head of the International Energy Agency, a global forecaster, launching the organisation’s, its annual flagship report, on October 13th. It is appearing less than three weeks before COP26, a big UN climate summit, gets under way in Glasgow. Not by chance: the IEA brought publication forward by a month so that the report could be a “guidebook” for the UN's shindig.
But the report's main purpose is to forecast the various paths the world could take as it tries to decarbonise. In the most pessimistic pathway, countries adhere to their stated energy policies and global warming continues unabated. On this trajectory, there is a 50% chance that the world’s mean surface temperature will increase by 2.6°C, and still be rising, by the end of this century, relative to pre-industrial levels.
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