Why the battle for the White House comes down to states like Arizona and Georgia
The 2024 White House race is almost certain to be a rematch between Joe Biden and Donald Trump — and it will probably be decided in just six swing states. That is because US presidential elections are decided not by popular vote, but in the electoral college, which convenes shortly after the election. Voters cast ballots to decide who gets their states’ electoral college votes — the number of which roughly reflects each state’s population.
But the vote in Michigan in November will also hinge on which candidate appeals more to blue-collar workers in sectors such as auto manufacturing. Biden will pitch his re-industrialisation strategy, while Trump lashes out at green energy policies and the promotion of electric vehicles. “If we win Michigan, we win the election,” Trump has said. Economic messaging will be critical in Nevada, where the Covid-19 pandemic walloped the state’s casinos and the recovery has been slow.
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