'Labour knows that the electoral challenge it faces at the next general election is huge, but this by-election marks a significant step on the journey. The Conservatives should be extremely worried.' Sky News elections analyst gives his analysis 👇
Labour has to be compared with how the party performed in the run-up to that spectacular victory. The Chester result offers the chance for comparison.Sir Keir Starmer says the Labour result in Chester is 'very, very good'.
Earlier this year, in the Birmingham Erdington by-election, the swing to Labour was under 5% while the Conservative government under Boris Johnson was imploding.It does not quite match the heights Labour hit in the mid-1990s but it would be good enough to win the party an additional 138 seats and a 32-seat majority in the House of Commons - assuming a uniform national swing away from the Conservatives of the same magnitude.
Now, the party might dare to dream that Mr Blair's record 10.2% swing in 1997 is within reach. If they can perform like this in one of their own seats, think what they can do in a seat being defended by a Conservative.The Conservative vote fell by 16 sixteen percentage points and most of that loss went to Labour.
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