The war in Ukraine is entering a new phase and may evolve into a bloody, protracted war of attrition. And nobody can say how or when it will end. JonahShepp writes
Ukrainian soldiers inspect the wreckage of a destroyed Russian armored column on the road in Bucha, a suburb north of Kyiv, on Sunday. Photo: Matthew Hatcher/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images As the war in Ukraine grinds on for a sixth week, Russia appears to be scaling back its ill-conceived war goals, regrouping and redeploying its forces after failing in its effort to quickly capture Kyiv.
Workers in Bucha collect the body of a civilian man, one of many found lying along a road in the town after Russian troops withdrew from the area. Photo: Sergei Supinsky/AFP via Getty Images Moscow, characteristically, dismissed the allegations as “another staged performance by the Kyiv regime for the Western media.” Yet Bucha is not the only place where evidence has emerged of Russian war crimes.
Russia also claimed it conducted strikes early Sunday on an oil refinery and fuel depots in the Black Sea port of Odessa — a strategically vital city in southwestern Ukraine that the Russians have so far been unable to approach. British military intelligence says Russian naval forces are maintaining a blockade of Ukraine’s coast and retain the capability to launch an amphibious attack, though this would be extremely risky, as the Ukrainians have had ample time to prepare for it.
Zelenskyy made another appeal for more weapons to NATO leaders at an emergency meeting in Brussels last Thursday, including tanks and planes. In response to this request, U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson said it would be “very difficult” to provide these particular items, logistically, although Western countries have otherwise been increasing their commitments to supply arms to Ukraine. Though a conspicuous effort to supply the Ukrainians with Polish MiG warplanes fell apart last month, the U.
Putin will also need to decide how far to go in escalating his commitment to the war, which Moscow continues to publicly minimize and refer to as a “special military operation.” Military analyst Michael Kofman believes Russia is facing a severe manpower crunch with so many of its combat-ready soldiers taken out of commission, and will have trouble reinforcing without a national mobilization.
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