‘This keeps me awake at night’: How much will Ireland’s climate worsen over the next 20 years?

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‘This keeps me awake at night’: How much will Ireland’s climate worsen over the next 20 years?
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The speed of decline in the system known as Amoc will determine whether Ireland can adapt or face catastrophic impacts

An aerial view taken of flooding in Midleton, Co Cork, after Storm Babet in October 2023. Photograph: Guileen Coast Guard. Ireland specifically does not feature in any of them, but the implications for life on our doorstep, our wellbeing and where we sit in the North Atlantic could not be more ominous.’s climate is going to get worse; beyond what was predicted up to now. The most concerning reports detail global temperature trends; carbon emissions and fossil fuel pollution.

His anxiousness around the risk to Ireland’s stable environment of 10,000 years, beside a beneficial “energy reservoir” in the Atlantic, was echoed last month by eminent scientists who sent an open letter to Nordic countries meeting in Reykjavik. Christine Connolly carrying her four-year-old daughter Yasmin through the floods in Massanassa near Valencia

Ireland’s progress has been predicated on an agreeable climate for hundreds of years, and now we may be moving to where “nothing is fun or positive”, he says. “If people worry about this; they should say it to their politicians on their doorstep and vote accordingly.” It means parts of our coast will have to be let go, he says, and whole communities may need to be relocated. “We cannot protect everybody and everything. It’s not economically viable.”Its head of climate services Keith Lambkin explains its significance: “This means we can tell with more confidence than ever before what is likely to happen here in Ireland. It effectively gives us the benefit of hindsight; we can take decisions that make us more climate resilient into the future.

Decisive action is needed not only to make our global contribution and avoid multibillion fines, he says, but there is a need to cut emissions across the economy to help improve resilience to inevitable extreme weather.

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