Tornado warning for northern Fairfax County until 8:45 p.m.
To our south, developing storms have already resulted inon the west and north side of Richmond. At this point, we have not seen reports of a confirmed tornado or damage.
The Storm Prediction Center has placed much of the eastern United States in a slight risk zone for severe thunderstorms. This is Level 2 out of 5 on the severity threat scale.The main threat with any storms will be damaging winds, although a short-lived tornado or two isn’t out of the question. It’s possible that the showers and storm pass through parts of the area without much fanfare. Although severe storms aren’t a sure thing, it would be wise to remain weather aware through late tonight.
In the upper levels, a potent trough of low pressure is approaching the Eastern Seaboard. The uplift of air is expected to intensify across the D.C. area as the trough amplifies. With the influx of southern moisture and rising air, waves of showers will develop and transit our region through the afternoon and evening.Our concern shifts to the early evening, as the front nears and a pocket of unstable air develops just along it.
Even with shallower convective clouds , we are concerned that downdrafts within the clouds may bring down blasts of strong wind in locally damaging gusts. The strong wind shear may also promote transient, rotating storm cells with the possibility of a short-lived tornado or two.
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