Despite cautious predictions of average gains for the S&P 500 in 2025, historical data suggests significant deviations from average returns are common. Wall Street strategists often predict moderate growth, but the market has historically favored extreme swings, with both substantial gains and sharp declines occurring regularly.
No one wants to stick their neck out on predictions about Wall Street ; better to play the part of the cautious bull and predict average returns. Photograph: Gettystrategists are staring into their crystal ball and predicting what they always predict for the year ahead – decent if not spectacular gains, with the average forecast projecting S&P 500 gains of about 10 per cent.
2024 was not an anomaly in this regard, with Bloomberg data showing returns were outside the range of all forecasts in seven of the past eight years. No one wants to stick their neck out; better to play the part of the cautious bull and predict average returns. Don’t be surprised by a big upside or downside move. Strategists who play it safe will, says BCA, “probably be way off”.Dublin-based Brera football investment group racks up €8m losses as a public company
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