We Analyzed 29 Years of Police Spending in Hundreds of Cities.

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We Analyzed 29 Years of Police Spending in Hundreds of Cities.
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“When you hire more officers, they make more arrests,” as a former NYPD police chief put it.

out today suggests all the new police budget growth is likely to do one thing: increase misdemeanor arrests.

For the study, my co-authors and I analyzed hundreds of U.S. cities and towns over 29 years, tracking how police spending and staffing correlated with misdemeanor arrests. We found the size of a city’s police budget and the size of its police force both strongly predicted how many arrests its officers made for things like loitering, trespassing, and drug possession.

We also analyzed whether community policing changed misdemeanor arrests. Community policing, with its emphasis on building police-resident relationships, has been a popular reform for decades, and the President’s budget proposal mentions it prominently. During a visit to New York City in February to discuss how to address rising gun violence with Adams, Biden once again touted community policing as a solution to violent crime.

, no matter what their color or background, saying ‘I don’t want more protection in my community’,” Biden said. We found, however, that misdemeanor arrest rates did not change after a city adopted community policing.In other words, if community policing improved relationships with residents, it did not lead to fewer misdemeanor arrests. It was theArrests for petty offenses are devastating for the people arrested and their communities.

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